Pre-tourney Rankings
North Carolina St.
Atlantic Coast
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.2#29
Expected Predictive Rating+12.0#33
Pace72.3#72
Improvement-0.1#173

Offense
Total Offense+9.7#10
Improvement-2.6#280

Defense
Total Defense+2.5#104
Improvement+2.5#48
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 1.2% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 96.7% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 96.7% n/a n/a
Average Seed 9.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.2% n/a n/a
First Round96.2% n/a n/a
Second Round48.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen15.8% n/a n/a
Elite Eight6.4% n/a n/a
Final Four2.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.7% n/a n/a
National Champion0.2% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 9 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2012 239   Miami (OH) W 97-59 96%     1 - 0 +30.3 +15.1 +13.0
  Nov 15, 2012 143   Penn St. W 72-55 84%     2 - 0 +18.6 +2.6 +16.5
  Nov 16, 2012 78   Massachusetts W 94-76 72%     3 - 0 +24.1 +12.3 +9.6
  Nov 18, 2012 21   Oklahoma St. L 56-76 45%     3 - 1 -6.6 -9.3 +2.8
  Nov 23, 2012 215   UNC Asheville W 82-80 95%     4 - 1 -4.2 +0.0 -4.4
  Nov 27, 2012 9   @ Michigan L 72-79 25%     4 - 2 +12.3 +10.8 +0.9
  Dec 04, 2012 51   Connecticut W 69-65 59%     5 - 2 +13.8 +8.6 +5.7
  Dec 08, 2012 260   Cleveland St. W 80-63 96%     6 - 2 +8.0 +5.6 +3.2
  Dec 15, 2012 217   Norfolk St. W 84-62 95%     7 - 2 +15.7 +4.1 +9.7
  Dec 18, 2012 46   Stanford W 88-79 70%     8 - 2 +15.9 +17.3 -1.5
  Dec 22, 2012 119   St. Bonaventure W 92-73 87%     9 - 2 +18.9 +8.5 +8.9
  Dec 29, 2012 147   Western Michigan W 84-68 90%     10 - 2 +13.9 +14.6 +0.1
  Dec 31, 2012 289   UNC Greensboro W 89-68 98%     11 - 2 +9.5 +10.4 -0.9
  Jan 05, 2013 93   @ Boston College W 78-73 65%     12 - 2 1 - 0 +13.3 +9.4 +4.1
  Jan 09, 2013 102   Georgia Tech W 83-70 84%     13 - 2 2 - 0 +14.3 +9.8 +3.8
  Jan 12, 2013 6   Duke W 84-76 42%     14 - 2 3 - 0 +22.4 +12.8 +9.3
  Jan 16, 2013 53   @ Maryland L 50-51 48%     14 - 3 3 - 1 +11.7 -13.3 +24.9
  Jan 20, 2013 111   Clemson W 66-62 86%     15 - 3 4 - 1 +4.7 +4.7 +0.5
  Jan 22, 2013 127   @ Wake Forest L 84-86 73%     15 - 4 4 - 2 +3.8 +8.8 -4.8
  Jan 26, 2013 26   North Carolina W 91-83 61%     16 - 4 5 - 2 +17.3 +7.4 +8.7
  Jan 29, 2013 39   @ Virginia L 55-58 41%     16 - 5 5 - 3 +11.4 -4.5 +15.6
  Feb 02, 2013 12   Miami (FL) L 78-79 51%     16 - 6 5 - 4 +11.0 +14.0 -3.0
  Feb 07, 2013 6   @ Duke L 85-98 21%     16 - 7 5 - 5 +7.8 +16.5 -8.2
  Feb 10, 2013 111   @ Clemson W 58-57 69%     17 - 7 6 - 5 +8.1 -8.2 +16.4
  Feb 16, 2013 160   Virginia Tech W 90-86 OT 91%     18 - 7 7 - 5 +1.2 +2.7 -2.0
  Feb 19, 2013 109   Florida St. W 84-66 85%     19 - 7 8 - 5 +18.8 +10.6 +8.3
  Feb 23, 2013 26   @ North Carolina L 65-76 36%     19 - 8 8 - 6 +4.8 -2.1 +7.0
  Feb 27, 2013 93   Boston College W 82-64 83%     20 - 8 9 - 6 +19.8 +14.7 +6.9
  Mar 03, 2013 102   @ Georgia Tech W 70-57 66%     21 - 8 10 - 6 +20.8 +3.8 +16.9
  Mar 06, 2013 127   Wake Forest W 81-66 88%     22 - 8 11 - 6 +14.3 +7.8 +6.2
  Mar 09, 2013 109   @ Florida St. L 67-71 68%     22 - 9 11 - 7 +3.3 +3.6 -0.7
  Mar 14, 2013 160   Virginia Tech W 80-63 86%     23 - 9 +17.4 +4.7 +12.8
  Mar 15, 2013 39   Virginia W 75-56 54%     24 - 9 +30.1 +12.2 +18.6
  Mar 16, 2013 12   Miami (FL) L 71-81 38%     24 - 10 +5.2 +6.6 -1.5
Projected Record 24.0 - 10.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 96.7% 96.7% 9.1 0.1 1.1 7.5 23.5 29.4 23.5 10.4 1.2 3.3 96.7%
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 96.7% 0.0% 96.7% 9.1 0.1 1.1 7.5 23.5 29.4 23.5 10.4 1.2 3.3 96.7%